Been a big weekend. Got completely smashed on Saturday night and after watching the election coverage down the pub with some Liberal mates I walked into the city singing at the top of my lungs and rampaged through a famous rock bar entertaining all and sundry with my humourous Mick Jagger impressions and bellowing drunk vocals. I did better than the last federal election because this time I managed to avoid being thrown out of the bar. Great night.
Whilst the result is still undecided it's safe to say the election was a big victory for the Liberals, at least in the moral sense. Labour's discraceful behaviour has been punished, they have lost their majority (and hence their legitimacy as Tony pointed out). To do that to a first term government is almost unprecidented especially one that started out so popular.
We smashed the ALP. Hazzzah!!!
Tony Abbott has entered the pantheon of Liberal gods. Menzies, Howard and Abbott are the leaders that will command the greatest loyalty and respect from their troops forever more. These are the Titans that truly took the nation forward, and continue to do so.
The chants of "Tony! Tony! Tony!" as he was speaking on election night echoed the feeling in my breast of admiration bordering on adoration for our fearless leader who went from being almost universally ridiculed in the media and polticians, even by his own party (and even himself !!) with the nickname "people skills" to showing a real warrior's discipline and if not delivering us victory, then delivering us the most glorious defeat since Gallipoli.
The difference hangs on one seat, Hasluck, where Ken Wyatt hopes to bear the Liberal standard as the first Indigenous elected into the lower house.
Here's the arithmetic:
I am at this point assuming that the 3 independents who are former Nationals would rather drink light beer in a tutu than side with the pack of lazy whingers that are the Labor party. The two deciding factors here will be the mining tax and Abbotts personably macho personality. I cant see Bob Katter respecting arch BS artist Gillard. I really can't. And i can't see any of them selling out their regions by backing the tax. I also think they will work as a block because they are much more powerful that way.
Also if they side with Labor, like the WA libs threatened to do after the election there, there will be a voter revolt expressed in a torrent of emails threatening to next time turf them out by voting for the coalition . Country people hate Labor if when their representatives don't.
So that means we need 73 seats to form government. 73 + 3 = 76 seats, the required majority.
We have 72 basically in the bag at the moment, as long as there is no postal vote flow to labour in the eastern state's closest electorates. Postals make up the majority of votes yet to be cast, and historically i'm told postals have favoured the Libs.
But that's still only 72, so we need Hasluck. Badly. I am told by insiders that the ALP did a huge postal vote campaign in Hasluck. So i'm a little scared.
Still if we lose Hasluck we might be saved if Labor lose Denison to the independent Andrew Wilkie. Wilkie's noises indicate that he does not think Labor has delivered the kind of "stable, competant and ethical government" that he says he wants to support. I think he would side with Abbott on must issues apart from boat people. That would give us a majority of 72 libs and 4 independents.
Having said that the ALP is tipped to take Denison. So this discussion is a bit academic.
It's Hasluck or nothing.
Well not nothing. We have our pride back. Howard's ghost is avenged. Maxine Makew (dont care to spell it right) is a journalist again. And she's leading the ill-disciplined back-biting that will destroy any ALP government that tries to cling to power.
There is one other possibility, although remote, and that's if we fail to win Hasluck and cannot govern even with the 3 independent former-Nationals. That does not mean these 3 will be able to enter into an agreement with the ALP. The mining tax might be a sticking point and if Oakshott is to be believed they'd send the country back to the polls. This is unlikely because that poll result could see the independents voted out for being too smart by half, and Gillard would almost certainly accept any ultimatum put to her by the independents that would allow her to hang on to power, even dropping the mining tax or totally gutting it.
For the ALP to lose would be oblivion. I personally think they would never recover. The myth that they stand up for the little guy would be forever dispelled. They have been so cynical and shifty they would have to rebrand themselves. I honestly dont think that's overstating it. Labor's brand is acknowledged as poison even by them, Gillard used the word "Labor" only twice in her campaign launch.
For us losing is OK. The coalition is back federally. We bring a kind of honest muscularity to political discourse in this country, and good hard-working salt-of-the-earth Aussie men and women love it xoxoxo
Monday, August 23, 2010
Tuesday, August 17, 2010
The notes that lost the election for Gillo
For Gillard to bullshit the Australian people shows a flawed character.
To be so easily caught out and humiliated shows sheer stupidity.
At the economic debate this week there will be alot of jokes "Is that answer in your notes or off the cuff?". Is it "from the heart?"
Australians absolutely relish exposing the hypocrisy of those who wish to rule over them.
She just lost the trust, the respect and the votes of everyone who was willing to give her the benefit of the doubt.
Australian women deserved better than this. The first female PM is headed for the the exits exposed as a fake and fibber and a lightweight.
And it's all her own fault.
She could have said "no" when the offer to roll Rudd was made. She could have stopped the power of the ALP faction bosses. She could have let labor take it's electoral medicine. She could have returned when her turn came and swept all before her.
But she saw a weak Rudd and she drove in the knife.
Out! out damned spot! - she'll soon have plenty of time to reflect.
To be so easily caught out and humiliated shows sheer stupidity.
At the economic debate this week there will be alot of jokes "Is that answer in your notes or off the cuff?". Is it "from the heart?"
Australians absolutely relish exposing the hypocrisy of those who wish to rule over them.
She just lost the trust, the respect and the votes of everyone who was willing to give her the benefit of the doubt.
Australian women deserved better than this. The first female PM is headed for the the exits exposed as a fake and fibber and a lightweight.
And it's all her own fault.
She could have said "no" when the offer to roll Rudd was made. She could have stopped the power of the ALP faction bosses. She could have let labor take it's electoral medicine. She could have returned when her turn came and swept all before her.
But she saw a weak Rudd and she drove in the knife.
Out! out damned spot! - she'll soon have plenty of time to reflect.
Friday, August 6, 2010
Paul Kelly = labor fraud
Paul Kelly, writer for the OZ, hides behind a mask of objectivity, which he uses to persuade others of the centrist persuasion, but he is a labor man through and through.
This is the guy who sold us the line that Rudd was an economic conservative at the last election. He should never be allowed to live it down.
Kelly is once again exposed in the piece linked below
He accuses Abbott of arrogance for refusing to debate Gillard again, or rather accepting her refusal of two weeks ago to debate him again
talk about damning with faint praise. in this he attacks labor party strategy so much that it is evident he has strong emotions invested in a labor victory
Show your colours Kelly. Tell us who you vote for.
The Australian has once again failed to live up to it's free market creed by failing to endorse the (truly) conservative candidate.
There must be a real war at that paper between the front-line journos who cant stand labor, and the pseudo-intellectual commentators like kelly and van onselen who hide their true lefty selves
All journos should have to declare their political interests at the top of each article, in the same way economic interests are recorded
I proudly vote Liberal
Abbott 4 PM!
Thursday, August 5, 2010
It's all about Kevni
The fairfax papers are providing the best entertainment this election.
The mercilessly take the piss out of Rudd's gaul-bladder-recovery speech to the media
Loving watching the lefties eating each other alive.
In other news Paul Kelly, the guy who pushed the idea that Kevni was an "economic conservative", reveals his true Labor colours again
Monday, August 2, 2010
Thursday, July 8, 2010
Boatpeople debate drowning in Gillard's BS
Well.
Gillard's asylum solution is falling apart, it took about 12 hours. East Timor are not up for the "regional processing centre" at all.
All she had to do was re-open the Nauru one and be done with it.
I knew she was stuck. She cant please the right and the left at the same time.
But she's gonna give it a damn good try.
The bullshit is staggering, if it were possible I'd say it is worse than under Rudd. (The amount BS in the Asylum speech yesterday was well outlines by Bolt here)
I remember wayne swan last week saying that labor were not going to engage in "megaphone diplomacy" - on the mining tax that time.
This week that is literally what Labor did. OK there was no literal megaphone but they made a loud announcement through the media to other countries in the region, by-passing the more subtle and usual diplomatic channells, and expected those other countries to go along with it.
Surprise surprize that NZ and East Timor wont have a bar of it.
GIllard claimed to have consulted other countries, but that was limited to phone calls the night before to top-level people that those people felt duty bound to not snub straight away for fear of harming relations with Australia, probably because it had been the first chat they'd had with the new Aus PM and as heads of state/govt they represent their people and must be tactful, even when taken by suprize.
But we learn today that nobody had been informed in a meaningful way and the person in East Timor gillard consulted, president Jose Ramos-Horta, has no constitutional power to help her anyway.
Hypocrisy, stupidity, and incompetence par excellence. I really don't think it's possible for Labor to rate higher on any of these scores.
And oh. Does anyone think that Aussie voters concerned about border security are gonna be happy about the decision to give free gunboats to our neighbouring countries?
Um. We actually want to discourage invasion, not enable it. I mean WTF!!!!!!
Dumb and dumber.
Labor wants a "nuanced" position on asylum. But people-smugglers are the biggest cynics in the world, and they know bullshit when they hear it.
A really simple message has to go out - "don't bother coming. it wont get you anywhere." That is the only way to stop the boats.
But labor has lost all credibility on this issue and people smugglers know deep down that labor is kept in power by lefties and lefties sympathise with their plight.
So when gillard gives this messages she is not believed. There are are 7 words she has to utter that might make a difference to the boats
"We were wrong. John Howard was right."
There is an emotional meaning that comes with the use of the words "John Howard" and that meaning is "we're serious."
All considerations of currying favour with lefties at that instant go out the window, and the people smugglers realise, "John Howard. That was the guy that stopped us last time. Shit we're in trouble now."
But Gillard is a hypocrite. And she will never admit that. Proof: her insistence on saying that the pacific solution was immoral under Howard while adopting it herself, and calling Liberals baby- drowning murderers when in fact it is Labor policies that have lured boat people to their deaths in huge numbers.
If you have your cake and eat it too you are probably covered in spew.
And we can all smell it.
What most shits me about labor and the media's position on this issue is that the people of australia were consulted on boatpeople in 2001 - the so-called "tampa" election. They said loud and clear that the solution they wanted was to stop the boats by re-electing Howard with an increased majority.
Then labor comes along and lies about wanting to stop the boats (They dont want to stop the boats. They want the boats to come) and gets into power and undoes all the good work that had been done previously by the Liberals, a solution that the people wanted and voted for.
Labor have disregarded the orders of their masters the Australian people, and deceived them. They have insulted the sovereignty of the will of the Australian people - as represented by our constitutional system of elections.
I think that's what Abbott's line should be. The Australian people have already spoken on this and Labor should respect the the Australian people's decision.
Stop trying to play us for a bunch of saps. We voted for Howard's solution. Admit you were wrong and give it to us, or step aside.
The boats are going go keep coming. Because labor wants them to come. They see boatpeople as refugees when they are not. They are economic migrants coming to this country illegally. A refugee wanting protection goes to the embassy of a friendly country or to the neighbouring country. As soon as the bullets stop they are ok. They dont need to come all the way over here to be safe. It's money that lures people all this way, not safety. Refugees need to be re-settled but they have no right under the UN convention on refugees to choose what country there are settled in. This is what boatpeople try to do. Boatpeople exploit the sympathy and openness of western societies to play on our guilt and pretend to be refugees when they are not.
Under John Howard in the past and under Abbott in the future Australia took/will take in our fair share of legitimate asylum-seekers resettled by the UN, from Somalia etc.
We wont be taking in any illegal immigrants.
Gillard's asylum solution is falling apart, it took about 12 hours. East Timor are not up for the "regional processing centre" at all.
All she had to do was re-open the Nauru one and be done with it.
I knew she was stuck. She cant please the right and the left at the same time.
But she's gonna give it a damn good try.
The bullshit is staggering, if it were possible I'd say it is worse than under Rudd. (The amount BS in the Asylum speech yesterday was well outlines by Bolt here)
I remember wayne swan last week saying that labor were not going to engage in "megaphone diplomacy" - on the mining tax that time.
This week that is literally what Labor did. OK there was no literal megaphone but they made a loud announcement through the media to other countries in the region, by-passing the more subtle and usual diplomatic channells, and expected those other countries to go along with it.
Surprise surprize that NZ and East Timor wont have a bar of it.
GIllard claimed to have consulted other countries, but that was limited to phone calls the night before to top-level people that those people felt duty bound to not snub straight away for fear of harming relations with Australia, probably because it had been the first chat they'd had with the new Aus PM and as heads of state/govt they represent their people and must be tactful, even when taken by suprize.
But we learn today that nobody had been informed in a meaningful way and the person in East Timor gillard consulted, president Jose Ramos-Horta, has no constitutional power to help her anyway.
Hypocrisy, stupidity, and incompetence par excellence. I really don't think it's possible for Labor to rate higher on any of these scores.
And oh. Does anyone think that Aussie voters concerned about border security are gonna be happy about the decision to give free gunboats to our neighbouring countries?
Um. We actually want to discourage invasion, not enable it. I mean WTF!!!!!!
Dumb and dumber.
Labor wants a "nuanced" position on asylum. But people-smugglers are the biggest cynics in the world, and they know bullshit when they hear it.
A really simple message has to go out - "don't bother coming. it wont get you anywhere." That is the only way to stop the boats.
But labor has lost all credibility on this issue and people smugglers know deep down that labor is kept in power by lefties and lefties sympathise with their plight.
So when gillard gives this messages she is not believed. There are are 7 words she has to utter that might make a difference to the boats
"We were wrong. John Howard was right."
There is an emotional meaning that comes with the use of the words "John Howard" and that meaning is "we're serious."
All considerations of currying favour with lefties at that instant go out the window, and the people smugglers realise, "John Howard. That was the guy that stopped us last time. Shit we're in trouble now."
But Gillard is a hypocrite. And she will never admit that. Proof: her insistence on saying that the pacific solution was immoral under Howard while adopting it herself, and calling Liberals baby- drowning murderers when in fact it is Labor policies that have lured boat people to their deaths in huge numbers.
If you have your cake and eat it too you are probably covered in spew.
And we can all smell it.
What most shits me about labor and the media's position on this issue is that the people of australia were consulted on boatpeople in 2001 - the so-called "tampa" election. They said loud and clear that the solution they wanted was to stop the boats by re-electing Howard with an increased majority.
Then labor comes along and lies about wanting to stop the boats (They dont want to stop the boats. They want the boats to come) and gets into power and undoes all the good work that had been done previously by the Liberals, a solution that the people wanted and voted for.
Labor have disregarded the orders of their masters the Australian people, and deceived them. They have insulted the sovereignty of the will of the Australian people - as represented by our constitutional system of elections.
I think that's what Abbott's line should be. The Australian people have already spoken on this and Labor should respect the the Australian people's decision.
Stop trying to play us for a bunch of saps. We voted for Howard's solution. Admit you were wrong and give it to us, or step aside.
The boats are going go keep coming. Because labor wants them to come. They see boatpeople as refugees when they are not. They are economic migrants coming to this country illegally. A refugee wanting protection goes to the embassy of a friendly country or to the neighbouring country. As soon as the bullets stop they are ok. They dont need to come all the way over here to be safe. It's money that lures people all this way, not safety. Refugees need to be re-settled but they have no right under the UN convention on refugees to choose what country there are settled in. This is what boatpeople try to do. Boatpeople exploit the sympathy and openness of western societies to play on our guilt and pretend to be refugees when they are not.
Under John Howard in the past and under Abbott in the future Australia took/will take in our fair share of legitimate asylum-seekers resettled by the UN, from Somalia etc.
We wont be taking in any illegal immigrants.
Friday, June 25, 2010
Gillard, an unexpected bonus for the Libs
Why? Because it was getting too easy to take the piss out of Kevin Rudd. Although i must admit i did enjoy the Kevin OLemon ad.
But Gillard is harder to attack. She's a woman so she might attract (irrational) sympathy from a bloke having a go at her, and she's more sturdy as a personality and experienced as a poltician than Rudd. (I'll have mOre on Rudd's issues and a possible case later)
Abbott now has to come out and outline why he is better. He needs to return to some of the themes in battlelines and be the compassionate conservative he is.
I dont believe he is a turn-off for females because he is good looking and strong in physique and personality. Any talk of looks is superficial and not intended to be patronising to parts of the electorate. But it all counts in politics.
Besides Gillard looks like Lady Macbeth now. She's not the figure of transcendent compassion that Rudd and Obama were. Lefties wont respond to her that well.
The emotional playing field is level, almost. Tony has to defend as well as attack or it wont matter how many goals he scores, Gillard will score more.
If he shows us his mad skills I am for the first time predicting a Liberal victory in the next federal election.
But Gillard is harder to attack. She's a woman so she might attract (irrational) sympathy from a bloke having a go at her, and she's more sturdy as a personality and experienced as a poltician than Rudd. (I'll have mOre on Rudd's issues and a possible case later)
Abbott now has to come out and outline why he is better. He needs to return to some of the themes in battlelines and be the compassionate conservative he is.
I dont believe he is a turn-off for females because he is good looking and strong in physique and personality. Any talk of looks is superficial and not intended to be patronising to parts of the electorate. But it all counts in politics.
Besides Gillard looks like Lady Macbeth now. She's not the figure of transcendent compassion that Rudd and Obama were. Lefties wont respond to her that well.
The emotional playing field is level, almost. Tony has to defend as well as attack or it wont matter how many goals he scores, Gillard will score more.
If he shows us his mad skills I am for the first time predicting a Liberal victory in the next federal election.
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